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Classical Probability

古典概型

Computing event probabilities over equally likely sample spaces, and the addition rule for mutually exclusive events.

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Rumus

  • Classical Probability Formula

    Rumus
    P(A)=mnP(A)=\frac{m}{n}

    Berlaku bila:n equally likely outcomes in total, m of them in event A

    n
    total number of equally likely outcomes
    m
    number of outcomes in event A
  • Addition Rule (Mutually Exclusive)

    Hukum
    P(A∪B)=P(A)+P(B)P(A\cup B)=P(A)+P(B)

    Berlaku bila:A and B mutually exclusive (A∩B = ∅)

Cara ujian sebenarnya menguji konsep ini

Soal dari ujian CSCA sebenarnya yang menguji konsep ini. Kerjakan sendiri dulu sebelum membuka jawabannya.

  1. CSCA Math December 2025 Past Paper
    The Chinese zodiac has 12 animals. If three people are chosen randomly, what is the probability that at least two share the same zodiac sign?
    • A.143144\frac{143}{144}
    • B.5572\frac{55}{72}
    • C.112\frac{1}{12}
    • D.1772\frac{17}{72}
    Lihat jawaban & pembahasan

    Jawaban: D

    Answer: D The probability that all three zodiac signs are different is 12⋅11⋅10123=5572\frac{12\cdot11\cdot10}{12^3}=\frac{55}{72}. Therefore the required probability is 1−5572=17721-\frac{55}{72}=\frac{17}{72}. Choose D.
    Lihat di CSCA Math December 2025 Past Paper lengkap
  2. CSCA Math April 2026 Past Paper
    A bag contains 12 balls. P(P ( red )=13,P() = \frac { 1 } { 3 } , P ( yellow or green )=512,P() = \frac { 5 } { 12 } , P ( black or yellow )=512) = \frac { 5 } { 12 }. The probabilities of yellow, black, green are
    • A.16,14,14\frac { 1 } { 6 } , \frac { 1 } { 4 } , \frac { 1 } { 4 }
    • B.13,14,16\frac { 1 } { 3 } , \frac { 1 } { 4 } , \frac { 1 } { 6 }
    • C.14,15,16\frac { 1 } { 4 } , \frac { 1 } { 5 } , \frac { 1 } { 6 }
    • D.15,14,16\frac { 1 } { 5 } , \frac { 1 } { 4 } , \frac { 1 } { 6 }
    Lihat jawaban & pembahasan

    Jawaban: A

    Red balls: 12⋅13=412 \cdot \frac { 1 } { 3 } = 4, so yellow + black + green =8= 8. From P(P ( yellow or green )=512:) = \frac { 5 } { 12 } : yellow + green =5= 5, so black =3= 3. From P(P ( black or yellow )=512:) = \frac { 5 } { 12 } : black + yellow =5= 5, so yellow =2= 2. Then green =5−2=3= 5 - 2 = 3. P(P ( yellow )=16,P() = \frac { 1 } { 6 } , P ( black )=14,P() = \frac { 1 } { 4 } , P ( green )=14) = \frac { 1 } { 4 }.
    Kerjakan CSCA Math April 2026 Past Paper lengkap — berwaktu & dinilai
  3. CSCA Math June 2026 Past Paper
    There are nn white balls with distinct labels and nn red balls with distinct labels. Draw nn balls successively at random without replacement. Let P(n)P(n) be the probability that the colors of the drawn balls alternate. Alternating colors means that the colors of the nn drawn balls are: the 1st ball is white, the 2nd is red, the 3rd is white, the 4th is red, and so on; or the 1st ball is red, the 2nd is white, the 3rd is red, the 4th is white, and so on. Which of the following relations is correct?
    • A.P(2)>P(4)>P(6)P(2) > P(4) > P(6)
    • B.P(2)<P(4)<P(6)P(2) < P(4) < P(6)
    • C.P(2)=P(4)=P(6)P(2) = P(4) = P(6)
    • D.P(4)>P(2)>P(6)P(4) > P(2) > P(6)
    Lihat jawaban & pembahasan

    Jawaban: A

    Drawing nn balls in order, the total number of ordered selections is (2n)!(2n−n)!=(2n)!n!\frac{(2n)!}{(2n-n)!} = \frac{(2n)!}{n!}. For even nn, there are 2 alternating color patterns (starting with white or with red); for each pattern, we choose n2\frac{n}{2} of the nn white balls and arrange them in the white positions, in (nn/2)⋅(n2)!\binom{n}{n/2} \cdot \left( \frac{n}{2} \right)! ways, and likewise for the red balls. The number of favorable selections is therefore 2[(nn/2)(n2)!]22 \left[ \binom{n}{n/2} \left( \frac{n}{2} \right)! \right]^2. Computing each case: for n=2n = 2, P(2)=812=23≈0.667P(2) = \frac{8}{12} = \frac{2}{3} \approx 0.667; for n=4n = 4, P(4)=2881680=635≈0.171P(4) = \frac{288}{1680} = \frac{6}{35} \approx 0.171; for n=6n = 6, P(6)=28800665280=10231≈0.043P(6) = \frac{28800}{665280} = \frac{10}{231} \approx 0.043. Hence P(2)>P(4)>P(6)P(2) > P(4) > P(6). Choose (A). (Quick check: drawing ball by ball, each ball from the 2nd on must differ in color from the previous one, so P(4)=47×36×35=635P(4) = \frac{4}{7} \times \frac{3}{6} \times \frac{3}{5} = \frac{6}{35}, consistent with the count above; moreover, alternation only gets harder as nn grows, so P(n)P(n) must decrease with nn — again confirming (A).) Editor’s note: the original solution reduces 2881680\frac{288}{1680} incorrectly to 2435\frac{24}{35} (≈0.686\approx 0.686), concluding P(4)>P(2)P(4) > P(2) and selecting D. The correct reduction is 635\frac{6}{35} (≈0.171\approx 0.171), and the correct answer is A.
    Kerjakan CSCA Math June 2026 Past Paper lengkap — berwaktu & dinilai

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