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Classical Probability

古典概型

Computing event probabilities over equally likely sample spaces, and the addition rule for mutually exclusive events.

4 questions d'annales · 4 sessions14 en examens blancs26 en entraînement

L'épreuve CSCA se passe en chinois ou en anglais, au choix du candidat. Les concepts et formules sont donc donnés dans ces deux langues ; cette page affiche la version anglaise.

Formules

  • Classical Probability Formula

    Formule
    P(A)=mnP(A)=\frac{m}{n}

    Conditions d'application:n equally likely outcomes in total, m of them in event A

    n
    total number of equally likely outcomes
    m
    number of outcomes in event A
  • Addition Rule (Mutually Exclusive)

    Loi
    P(A∪B)=P(A)+P(B)P(A\cup B)=P(A)+P(B)

    Conditions d'application:A and B mutually exclusive (A∩B = ∅)

Comment l'examen réel l'évalue

Des questions tirées de vraies épreuves CSCA qui portent sur ce concept. Essayez de les résoudre avant d'afficher la réponse.

  1. CSCA Math December 2025 Past Paper
    The Chinese zodiac has 12 animals. If three people are chosen randomly, what is the probability that at least two share the same zodiac sign?
    • A.143144\frac{143}{144}
    • B.5572\frac{55}{72}
    • C.112\frac{1}{12}
    • D.1772\frac{17}{72}
    Afficher la réponse et la solution

    Réponse : D

    Answer: D The probability that all three zodiac signs are different is 12⋅11⋅10123=5572\frac{12\cdot11\cdot10}{12^3}=\frac{55}{72}. Therefore the required probability is 1−5572=17721-\frac{55}{72}=\frac{17}{72}. Choose D.
    Voir dans l'épreuve complète CSCA Math December 2025 Past Paper
  2. CSCA Math April 2026 Past Paper
    A bag contains 12 balls. P(P ( red )=13,P() = \frac { 1 } { 3 } , P ( yellow or green )=512,P() = \frac { 5 } { 12 } , P ( black or yellow )=512) = \frac { 5 } { 12 }. The probabilities of yellow, black, green are
    • A.16,14,14\frac { 1 } { 6 } , \frac { 1 } { 4 } , \frac { 1 } { 4 }
    • B.13,14,16\frac { 1 } { 3 } , \frac { 1 } { 4 } , \frac { 1 } { 6 }
    • C.14,15,16\frac { 1 } { 4 } , \frac { 1 } { 5 } , \frac { 1 } { 6 }
    • D.15,14,16\frac { 1 } { 5 } , \frac { 1 } { 4 } , \frac { 1 } { 6 }
    Afficher la réponse et la solution

    Réponse : A

    Red balls: 12⋅13=412 \cdot \frac { 1 } { 3 } = 4, so yellow + black + green =8= 8. From P(P ( yellow or green )=512:) = \frac { 5 } { 12 } : yellow + green =5= 5, so black =3= 3. From P(P ( black or yellow )=512:) = \frac { 5 } { 12 } : black + yellow =5= 5, so yellow =2= 2. Then green =5−2=3= 5 - 2 = 3. P(P ( yellow )=16,P() = \frac { 1 } { 6 } , P ( black )=14,P() = \frac { 1 } { 4 } , P ( green )=14) = \frac { 1 } { 4 }.
    Faire l'épreuve complète CSCA Math April 2026 Past Paper — chronométrée et notée
  3. CSCA Math June 2026 Past Paper
    There are nn white balls with distinct labels and nn red balls with distinct labels. Draw nn balls successively at random without replacement. Let P(n)P(n) be the probability that the colors of the drawn balls alternate. Alternating colors means that the colors of the nn drawn balls are: the 1st ball is white, the 2nd is red, the 3rd is white, the 4th is red, and so on; or the 1st ball is red, the 2nd is white, the 3rd is red, the 4th is white, and so on. Which of the following relations is correct?
    • A.P(2)>P(4)>P(6)P(2) > P(4) > P(6)
    • B.P(2)<P(4)<P(6)P(2) < P(4) < P(6)
    • C.P(2)=P(4)=P(6)P(2) = P(4) = P(6)
    • D.P(4)>P(2)>P(6)P(4) > P(2) > P(6)
    Afficher la réponse et la solution

    Réponse : A

    Drawing nn balls in order, the total number of ordered selections is (2n)!(2n−n)!=(2n)!n!\frac{(2n)!}{(2n-n)!} = \frac{(2n)!}{n!}. For even nn, there are 2 alternating color patterns (starting with white or with red); for each pattern, we choose n2\frac{n}{2} of the nn white balls and arrange them in the white positions, in (nn/2)⋅(n2)!\binom{n}{n/2} \cdot \left( \frac{n}{2} \right)! ways, and likewise for the red balls. The number of favorable selections is therefore 2[(nn/2)(n2)!]22 \left[ \binom{n}{n/2} \left( \frac{n}{2} \right)! \right]^2. Computing each case: for n=2n = 2, P(2)=812=23≈0.667P(2) = \frac{8}{12} = \frac{2}{3} \approx 0.667; for n=4n = 4, P(4)=2881680=635≈0.171P(4) = \frac{288}{1680} = \frac{6}{35} \approx 0.171; for n=6n = 6, P(6)=28800665280=10231≈0.043P(6) = \frac{28800}{665280} = \frac{10}{231} \approx 0.043. Hence P(2)>P(4)>P(6)P(2) > P(4) > P(6). Choose (A). (Quick check: drawing ball by ball, each ball from the 2nd on must differ in color from the previous one, so P(4)=47×36×35=635P(4) = \frac{4}{7} \times \frac{3}{6} \times \frac{3}{5} = \frac{6}{35}, consistent with the count above; moreover, alternation only gets harder as nn grows, so P(n)P(n) must decrease with nn — again confirming (A).) Editor’s note: the original solution reduces 2881680\frac{288}{1680} incorrectly to 2435\frac{24}{35} (≈0.686\approx 0.686), concluding P(4)>P(2)P(4) > P(2) and selecting D. The correct reduction is 635\frac{6}{35} (≈0.171\approx 0.171), and the correct answer is A.
    Faire l'épreuve complète CSCA Math June 2026 Past Paper — chronométrée et notée

Preuves issues des annales

Les occurrences relevées dans les annales sont listées ci-dessous ; la vérification en ligne est indiquée séparément.

4 questions sur 4 sessions1 session(s) sur 4 vérifiable(s) gratuitement en ligne

14 questions dans 13 examens blancs — nos propres sujets, donc un indicateur de couverture et non une preuve d'annales

26 questions d'entraînement disponiblesS'entraîner gratuitement : Probabilités et statistiques

Les preuves d'annales proviennent des annales CSCA enregistrées ; les questions dont le sujet original manque sont exclues, et les sujets de révision finale ne sont volontairement pas comptés.